⚡ Today in History

On November 3, 1948, the Chicago Tribune printed “Dewey Defeats Truman” — one of the most famous wrong headlines in American history. In 1986, a Lebanese magazine broke the Iran-Contra affair, revealing secret US arms sales to Tehran. Today, Americans head to the polls for midterm elections held against the backdrop of another US-Iran conflict.

Top News

Election Day: America votes for control of Congress 435 + 35 SEATS

All 435 House seats, 35 Senate seats, and 36 governor’s races are on the ballot today. Prediction markets give Democrats a 94% chance of flipping the House and 75% odds of taking the Senate, which would mark the party’s largest midterm swing since 2018.

Trump rules out Iran strikes — says deal “could happen”

Asked on Monday at the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool whether he would strike Iran after the midterms, President Donald Trump said “no.” Trump had hinted for weeks at resuming attacks after the vote, and his reversal sent oil prices down 7.6% within hours.

Oil crashes 7.6% on Iran peace hopes BRENT $104.77

Brent crude fell 7.6% on Monday to $104.77 per barrel, its steepest single-day drop in three months. The selloff came after Trump ruled out new strikes on Iran and Tehran offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within two days. WTI crude fell 7.4% to $96.46.

Apple beats Q4 in Ternus’ first report as CEO $114.5B REVENUE

Apple posted record September-quarter revenue of $114.5 billion, up 12% year over year, beating Wall Street’s estimate of $113.4 billion. New CEO John Ternus oversaw his first earnings call, but shares slipped after hours on a weak margin forecast for the holiday quarter.

Cyclone Murasu makes landfall on India’s coast — 2nd storm in a week

Cyclone Murasu struck India’s Andhra Pradesh coast early Tuesday near the city of Ongole, bringing winds of up to 120 km/h. The storm is the second cyclone to hit the state in seven days, after Cyclone Arnab killed seven and caused $550 million in damage on October 28.

World

Iranian negotiators leave Doha — draft US deal circulating 3 DAYS OF TALKS

After three consecutive days of talks with Qatari mediators aimed at ending the eight-month US-Iran war, Iranian negotiators departed Doha on Sunday. An official briefed on the talks told Reuters that a draft proposal for a US deal was being circulated and that the departure was not due to a breakdown.

Israeli Arab parties expected to back Eisenkot for prime minister 19 SEATS

Israel’s Arab-led parties, which won a record 19 Knesset seats in the October 27 election, met Monday to coordinate and are expected to recommend opposition leader Gadi Eisenkot for prime minister. President Isaac Herzog pressed both blocs to negotiate, as neither Benjamin Netanyahu’s 53-seat coalition nor Eisenkot’s 48-seat opposition holds the 61 needed to form a government.

Cyclone Murasu storm surges threaten Andhra Pradesh coast

India’s meteorological department warned of storm surges up to 1.5 meters as Cyclone Murasu crossed the Andhra Pradesh coast between Nellore and Narsapur early Tuesday. The severe cyclonic storm carried sustained winds of 100–110 km/h, threatening low-lying fishing villages and farmland along India’s southeast shoreline.

HPCL refinery fire in Visakhapatnam — no deaths reported

A fire erupted at a sulphur pitch tank at Hindustan Petroleum Corporation’s refinery in Visakhapatnam, a port city on India’s southeast coast, on Monday night. Police said no deaths were reported, but thick smoke and towering flames set off panic among nearby residents. The blaze is the second fire at an HPCL refinery in 2026.

Schools shut, 19 flights canceled as Murasu moves inland

Andhra Pradesh closed schools in eight districts and canceled 19 flights ahead of Tuesday’s landfall, while the state government released ₹37 crore ($4.4 million) in emergency relief funds to 17 districts. Neighboring Telangana issued red alerts for two districts as the storm tracked westward into India’s interior.

Politics

Democrats favored: 94% House odds, 75% Senate 94% HOUSE

Prediction markets give Democrats a 94% chance of winning the House and a 75% chance of taking the Senate as polls open Tuesday. National surveys show Democrats leading by 8 to 9 points on the generic congressional ballot, the widest margin heading into a midterm since the 2018 wave.

Trump’s Lincoln Memorial speech focuses on monument projects

President Trump delivered his final pre-election address Monday afternoon at the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool in Washington. The 53-minute speech focused on his project to renovate national monuments in the capital rather than the Iran war, inflation, or the economy.

Texas Senate: Talarico surges to 72% — was tied one week ago

Democrat James Talarico now leads Republican Ken Paxton 72% to 28% on prediction markets for the Texas Senate race, a sharp swing from the 49–49 polling tie a Fox News poll showed just one week ago. A Talarico win would give Texas its first elected Democratic senator since Lloyd Bentsen won re-election in 1988.

Four GOP Senate seats in play tonight

Democrats are focused on Republican-held Senate seats in Ohio, Texas, Maine, and Alaska as their path to a majority. The party needs to flip at least four seats to regain the Senate control it lost in 2024.

Thirty-six governors’ races also decided today

Beyond Congress, voters in 36 states will choose governors on Tuesday. The outcomes will shape who controls statehouses during the next round of congressional redistricting and set state-level policy on abortion access, education, and election rules.

Markets

S&P 500 falls 0.5% as morning rally fades — Dow rises 0.4% S&P 7,541

US markets opened November with a split session on Monday. The S&P 500 fell 0.5% to 7,541 after giving back a 1.1% morning gain, dragged lower by another round of tech selling. The Dow Jones rose 0.4% to 51,984, lifted by industrial and financial shares.

Brent crude falls 7.6% to $104 — steepest daily drop in three months

Brent crude fell $8.62 to $104.77 per barrel on Monday after Trump ruled out new strikes on Iran and Tehran offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within two days. WTI crude dropped 7.4% to $96.46, falling below $100 per barrel for the first time in weeks.

Apple posts $114.5B quarter — weak margin outlook weighs on stock $2.10 EPS

Apple reported earnings of $2.10 per share on Monday, beating the $1.99 estimate, on record September-quarter revenue of $114.5 billion. iPhone sales surged 17.5% to $57.6 billion on early demand for the iPhone 18 Pro. Shares initially rose after hours but pulled back after new CEO John Ternus issued a cautious margin forecast for the holiday quarter.

Gold rebounds to $3,950 after Friday’s selloff

Gold rose roughly 2% on Monday to about $3,950 per ounce, recovering part of Friday’s $145 drop. Traders bought the dip ahead of Election Day uncertainty, though the metal remains about 29% below its January all-time high of $5,589.

Bitcoin holds near $77,000 — down 39% from 2025 peak

Bitcoin traded near $77,000 on Monday, roughly flat for the day. The largest cryptocurrency sits about 39% below its all-time high of roughly $126,000, reached in October 2025, and has now fallen for two straight months.

Entertainment

Jack Campbell hospitalized with neck injury after Lions game

Detroit Lions All-Pro linebacker Jack Campbell remained in the hospital Monday for monitoring of a neck injury suffered during Sunday’s 19–15 win over the Minnesota Vikings. Campbell was placed on a backboard and carted off the field in the fourth quarter after being left facedown and motionless on the turf. The team said preliminary signs were positive.

Broncos sack Mahomes on final play, beat Chiefs 28–24

The Denver Broncos rallied from an 11-point fourth-quarter deficit to beat the Kansas City Chiefs 28–24 on Sunday, taking first place in the AFC West. Denver’s defense sealed the win by sacking quarterback Patrick Mahomes on fourth-and-goal from the 6-yard line on the game’s final snap.

Bengals outlast Titans 43–36 in OT — Burrow throws 462 yards 462 YDS

Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow threw for 462 yards in a 43–36 overtime win over the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. The Bengals trailed 13–0 early before rallying, with Titans running back Tony Pollard rushing for 117 yards in the losing effort.

Michael Douglas says Jack Nicholson has “disappeared”

Michael Douglas said his long-time friend Jack Nicholson, the three-time Oscar winner who hasn’t appeared on screen in 16 years, is “well” but has “disappeared” from public life. Douglas, who is promoting his new memoir, told interviewers that the 89-year-old Nicholson is “up there by his house and walking around in his slippers.”

I’m A Celebrity 2026 cast: Wayne Rooney headlines lineup

The reported lineup for ITV’s I’m A Celebrity…Get Me Out of Here! 2026 includes former England football captain Wayne Rooney and comedian Leigh Francis. The reality show’s latest season begins filming in the Australian jungle this month.